Although newcomers to the Preakness Stakes don’t often win, they do often add value to exotic bets.
2017 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds
|PP||Horse||Morning Line Odds|
|7||Term of Art||30-1|
|9||Lookin at Lee||10-1|
|10||Conquest Mo Money||15-1|
Last year, Cherry Wine finished second in the Preakness Stakes at 17 to 1 odds. The $2 exacta with Exaggerator on top paid $88.40. The $2 trifecta with Derby winner Nyquist on the bottom paid $146.20.
It makes sense to consider one of the newcomers for the place position on your exotic bet tickets. With that in mind, here’s information on each one of the newcomers to the Triple Crown. They’re added in post-position order.
Should You Bet On Preakness Newcomers in 2017
What: 2017 Preakness Stakes
When: May 20, 2017
Post Time: 6:45 PM ET
Where: Baltimore, Maryland
Track: Pimlico Race Course
Stream: NBC Sports Live
His Illinois Derby win wasn’t overly impressive. In the Preakness, breaking from post-position one could be to his advantage. Jockey Joel Rosario can rush him into a ground-saving position right behind the front-runners. If the pace is too swift upfront, Multiplier should be the horse to pick up the pieces a la Cherry Wine in last year’s Preakness. He’ll have saved the most ground of any horses as they turn for home.
His owners decided to send Practical Joke to the Kentucky Derby. Practical Joke finished fifth. Cloud Computing had no chance of catching Battalion Runner and Irish War Cry over the Aqueduct dirt in the Wood Memorial. The track favored frontrunners. He’s the most talented of the newcomers. He’s also trained by Eclipse Award-winning horseman Chad Brown.
The real reason to like Cloud Computing? Jockey Javier Castellano, who has won the Eclipse for Outstanding Jockey four years in a row, takes the call. Javier’s going to have Cloud Computing much closer to the pace in the Preakness than he was in the Wood Memorial.
7-Term of Art
On paper, Term of Art doesn’t appear to have a lot going for him. He has a record of 2 wins, 1 second-place, and 2 third-place finishes from 9 starts. But, he’s sired by Tiznow and is from a Storm Cat mare. Not only that, he was purchased for $220,000. That’s a nice chunk of change. Plus, he gets blinkers back on, a 17% winning move for Derby and Preakness-winning trainer Doug O’Neill.
I say put him in the exacta. If he pops up at 50 to 1 odds and splits Always Dreaming and Classic Empire, you’re going to kick yourself if you don’t.
I’d be very surprised if Senior Investment gets into the Top 3. Since his dad is Discreetly Mine and his mom is Plaid, he’s not in any way, shape, or form, bred to run 1 3/16 miles. I’d love to see Kenny McPeek put Senior Investment into a 7 or even 6-furlong race. He’s got that sprinting closer look about him.
He’s going to have to run much faster in the early part of the Preakness than he’s used to running. What it means is that his closing kick might be compromised. He’s the one horse out of the newcomers that I just don’t feel can get into the exacta. He’s not a bad horse. I just don’t think the race conditions suit him.
10-Conquest Mo Money
Do not leave this son of Uncle Mo off your exacta ticket. If Always Dreaming and Classic Empire only pay attention to each other, Conquest Mo Money can wire this field. He ran a :45.3 half in the 1 1/8 miles Sunland Derby and finished second to Hence. He ran a :46.4 half-mile in the Arkansas Derby and finished second to Classic Empire. He also held off Looking At Lee in the Arkansas Derby. Lookin At Lee finished second in the Kentucky Derby.
What’s going to happen if nobody wants to get into a speed duel with Jorge Carreno aboard Conquest Mo Money on Saturday? He’s going to get away with a :48 half. If he does, it will be all over but the shouting.
I can’t stress it enough. Don’t leave Conquest Mo Money off your exacta tickets.